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Fed rate cut by...?
$3,796,531 Vol.Jan 28, 2028Markets
January Meeting
$588,115 Vol.
0%
1%
March Meeting
$0 Vol.
0%
April Meeting
$542,979 Vol.
0%
June Meeting
$784,968 Vol.
0%
1%
January 2027 Meeting
$3,999 Vol.
5%
March 2027 Meeting
$1,381 Vol.
15%
1%
July 2027 Meeting
$115 Vol.
51%
April 2027 Meeting
$50 Vol.
33%
1%
June 2027 Meeting
$27 Vol.
36%
July Meeting
$579,140 Vol.
0%
September 2026 Meeting
$645,138 Vol.
0%
October 2026 Meeting
$232,488 Vol.
<1%
December 2026 Meeting
$418,131 Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this mar... This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm- No recent trades