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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$2,905,764 Vol.Dec 31, 2026Markets
October 31, 2026
$153,138 Vol.
<1%
November 30, 2026
$24,119 Vol.
3%
December 31, 2026
$2,321,052 Vol.
6%
1%
March 31, 2027
$3,239 Vol.
20%
1%
June 30, 2027
$3,679 Vol.
33%
2%
December 31, 2027
$8,101 Vol.
42%
1%
September 30, 2026
$392,435 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:35 PM ET
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