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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$410,403 Vol.Dec 31, 2026Markets
Below 4.7%
$16,702 Vol.
26%
5%
Below 4.6%
$25,754 Vol.
23%
12%
Below 4.5%
$19,535 Vol.
6%
1%
Below 4.4%
$23,708 Vol.
6%
Below 4.3%
$3,033 Vol.
3%
Below 4.2%
$6,732 Vol.
2%
Below 4.1%
$12,566 Vol.
3%
Below 3.9%
$57,132 Vol.
2%
Below 3.8%
$65,256 Vol.
2%
Below 3.7%
$38,140 Vol.
2%
1%
Below 3.6%
$12,482 Vol.
2%
Below 3.5%
$43,698 Vol.
1%
Below 3.0%
$7,964 Vol.
2%
Below 2.0%
$5,113 Vol.
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,828 Vol.
1%
Below 4.0%
$31,759 Vol.
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that... This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Market Opened: Nov 12, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
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