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Iran leader end of 2026?
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Mojtaba Khamenei
$6,740,872 Vol.
87%
No Head of State
$1,170,343 Vol.
4%
1%
Reza Pahlavi
$703,827 Vol.
3%
Alireza Arafi
$2,328,667 Vol.
3%
Hassan Rouhani
$952,413 Vol.
<1%
Abbas Araghchi
$838,309 Vol.
<1%
Maryam Rajavi
$906,597 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$785,712 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
$927,563 Vol.
<1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,035,067 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Khomeini
$1,451,421 Vol.
<1%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
$1,135,366 Vol.
<1%
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
$474,380 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Larijani
$579,670 Vol.
<1%
Hassan Shariatmadari
$3,180,395 Vol.
<1%
Massoud Rajavi
$436,647 Vol.
<1%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
$3,729,353 Vol.
<1%
Reza Pirzadeh
$187,804 Vol.
<1%
Navid Shomali
$259,828 Vol.
<1%
Mustafa Hijri
$239,367 Vol.
<1%
Ali Motahari
$860,179 Vol.
<1%
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
$442,629 Vol.
<1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
$3,386,110 Vol.
<1%
Sadegh Mahsouli
$275,785 Vol.
<1%
Saeed Jalili
$425,049 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Khatami
$5,219,505 Vol.
<1%
Mohsen Araki
$324,848 Vol.
<1%
Nasir Hosseini
$300,718 Vol.
<1%
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
$333,085 Vol.
<1%
Ali Asghar Hejazi
$378,272 Vol.
<1%
Mohammad Pakpour
$0 Vol.
0%
Ali Larijani
$236,860 Vol.
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appo... This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: Feb 28, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
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