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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
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October 17
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
1%
October 18
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
2%
October 19
$4,149 Vol.
<1%
7%
October 20
$12,694 Vol.
31%
1%
October 21
$3,844 Vol.
11%
10%
October 22
$6,839 Vol.
11%
9%
October 23
$3,424 Vol.
2%
6%
October 24
$2,890 Vol.
4%
1%
October 25
$905 Vol.
<1%
October 26
$2,888 Vol.
3%
2%
October 27
$2,642 Vol.
11%
10%
October 28
$1,616 Vol.
<1%
October 29
$2,574 Vol.
1%
October 30
$327 Vol.
<1%
October 31
$2,653 Vol.
<1%
1%
No release by October 31
$38,983 Vol.
21%
3%
On or prior to October 3
$271 Vol.
0%
43%
October 4
$688 Vol.
0%
2%
October 5
$553 Vol.
0%
4%
October 6
$1,463 Vol.
0%
14%
October 7
$992 Vol.
0%
12%
October 8
$1,684 Vol.
0%
October 9
$627 Vol.
0%
3%
October 10
$528 Vol.
0%
1%
October 11
$588 Vol.
0%
2%
October 12
$638 Vol.
0%
3%
October 13
$1,626 Vol.
0%
14%
October 14
$5,517 Vol.
0%
21%
October 15
$9,132 Vol.
0%
10%
October 16
$7,157 Vol.
0%
2%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, whil... This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Oct 2, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
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