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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$384,032 Vol.Apr 18, 2027Markets
Marine Le Pen
$17,937 Vol.
89%
1%
Édouard Philippe
$6,557 Vol.
39%
3%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$23,205 Vol.
38%
5%
David Lisnard
$166,769 Vol.
15%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$9,752 Vol.
8%
Bruno Retailleau
$4,098 Vol.
6%
Gabriel Attal
$6,675 Vol.
6%
Jordan Bardella
$23,595 Vol.
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$2,091 Vol.
6%
François Hollande
$15,739 Vol.
5%
Sarah Knafo
$5,266 Vol.
5%
Manuel Bompard
$7,132 Vol.
5%
Juan Branco
$4,478 Vol.
5%
Olivier Faure
$3,641 Vol.
5%
Éric Zemmour
$742 Vol.
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$2,500 Vol.
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3,718 Vol.
4%
François Ruffin
$7,214 Vol.
4%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,360 Vol.
4%
François Asselineau
$1,871 Vol.
4%
Élisabeth Borne
$4,628 Vol.
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$1,938 Vol.
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,743 Vol.
4%
Fabien Roussel
$8,265 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$4,235 Vol.
3%
Ségolène Royal
$4,947 Vol.
3%
Carole Delga
$11,177 Vol.
3%
Clémence Guetté
$3,151 Vol.
3%
Laurent Wauquiez
$921 Vol.
2%
Clémentine Autain
$5,821 Vol.
2%
Marine Tondelier
$4,754 Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1,891 Vol.
2%
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$1,561 Vol.
1%
Michel Barnier
$3,259 Vol.
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$3,179 Vol.
1%
Jean Castex
$3,111 Vol.
1%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed can... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/- No recent trades