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Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
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No Next Minister by Feb 28
$18,705 Vol.
35%
20%
Matan Kahana
$9,540 Vol.
14%
7%
Yoram Cohen
$7,318 Vol.
12%
Ofer Winter
$8,750 Vol.
11%
Itamar Ben Gvir
$4,643 Vol.
9%
Talya Lankri
$7,390 Vol.
9%
Yair Golan
$335 Vol.
3%
2%
Yoav Segalovich
$467 Vol.
2%
Elazar Stern
$2,931 Vol.
2%
Amir Ohana
$1,308 Vol.
1%
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
$355 Vol.
1%
Yossi Cohen
$861 Vol.
<1%
Ram Ben-Barak
$312 Vol.
<1%
Avi Dichter
$781 Vol.
<1%
Eli Cohen
$331 Vol.
<1%
Bezalel Smotrich
$800 Vol.
<1%
1%
Meirav Ben-Ari
$286 Vol.
<1%
Gideon Sa’ar
$947 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office... This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.
If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of National Security are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.
If no such Minister of National Security assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2026, 5:19 AM ET
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