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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $141,264 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …61%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …34%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…2%
$141,264 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$42,877 Vol.
61% 3%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$34,933 Vol.
34% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$27,508 Vol.
3% 1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$35,946 Vol.
2%

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The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET