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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Oil Vol. $226,221 50 traders

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …64%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; …32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Se…3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Se…2%
$226,221 Vol. Nov 3, 2026
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$39,525 Vol.
64% 2%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$53,933 Vol.
32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$66,280 Vol.
3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$66,483 Vol.
2% 1%

Rules

The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.

Market Opened: Oct 12, 2026, 3:05 PM ET