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Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
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Cut–Pause–Pause
$2,241 Vol.
0%
1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$2,230 Vol.
0%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$1,265 Vol.
0%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$1,915 Vol.
0%
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$349,718 Vol.
0%
8%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$104,255 Vol.
0%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$30,491 Vol.
0%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$17,736 Vol.
0%
Other
$384,947 Vol.
100%
9%
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qu... The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm- No recent trades