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Fed Decision in December?

FedfomcTrump

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

3%

25 bps increase

89%

50+ bps increase

9%

Bubl777

easy money

AlexxHamilton

🤣

0xBa7Dd9801F0a40A33e631994a10908A7b6f5602c-1774906095306

lets play it

WWMM1918

i dont play deterrence game

0x2775CDA0Ba36Dc0aFB73462B0059b634a2D59D60-1761664183530

133312

betjunkie

a +50 on the table, this is rare

hyper-liquid-xyz

waller is just single fed. there is a bunch of other officials that will speak in the next several hours.

AlexxHamilton

Justaway exe where are you my friend? open that FU position .

Bubl777

easy money

AlexxHamilton

🤣

0xBa7Dd9801F0a40A33e631994a10908A7b6f5602c-1774906095306

lets play it

WWMM1918

i dont play deterrence game

0x2775CDA0Ba36Dc0aFB73462B0059b634a2D59D60-1761664183530

133312

betjunkie

a +50 on the table, this is rare

hyper-liquid-xyz

waller is just single fed. there is a bunch of other officials that will speak in the next several hours.

AlexxHamilton

Justaway exe where are you my friend? open that FU position .

Bubl777

easy money

AlexxHamilton

🤣

0xBa7Dd9801F0a40A33e631994a10908A7b6f5602c-1774906095306

lets play it

WWMM1918

i dont play deterrence game

0x2775CDA0Ba36Dc0aFB73462B0059b634a2D59D60-1761664183530

133312

betjunkie

a +50 on the table, this is rare

hyper-liquid-xyz

waller is just single fed. there is a bunch of other officials that will speak in the next several hours.

AlexxHamilton

Justaway exe where are you my friend? open that FU position .

25 bps decrease<1%

No change3%

25 bps increase89%

50+ bps increase9%

$31M Vol

Ends Dec 10, 2026

All markets

Will Los Angeles stay dry on October 19?

64%

chance

Yes

No

$29K Vol.

Will Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19 at 12:00 PM ET?

64%

chance

Yes

No

$290K Vol.

Will Trump post 10 or more times on Truth Social on October 19?

62%

chance

Yes

No

$239K Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

26%

Yes26%No74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Yes15%No85%

$1.3B Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

17%

Yes17%No83%

JD Vance

13%

Yes13%No87%

$740M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

31%

Yes31%No69%

Marco Rubio

18%

Yes18%No82%

$736M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

46%

Yes46%No54%

David Lisnard

17%

Yes17%No83%

$174M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

June 30, 2027

68%

Yes68%No32%

March 31, 2027

61%

Yes61%No39%

$125M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

92%

Yes92%No8%

Delcy Rodríguez

7%

Yes7%No93%

$100M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

64%

Yes64%No36%

Benjamin Netanyahu

19%

Yes19%No81%

$92M Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 65,000

65%

Yes65%No36%

↓ 60,000

33%

Yes33%No68%

$86M Vol.

Bitcoin

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$80M Vol.

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

None

99%

Yes99%No1%

AK

1%

Yes1%No100%

$79M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31

2%

Yes2%No98%

$79M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31

3%

Yes3%No97%

$78M Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

24%

Yes24%No77%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Yes19%No82%

$74M Vol.

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Buffalo Bills

14%

Yes14%No86%

San Francisco 49ers

14%

Yes14%No86%

$73M Vol.

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$68M Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

98%

Yes98%No2%

1 (25 bps)

1%

Yes1%No99%

$56M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 13

99%

Yes99%No1%

November 15

96%

Yes96%No4%

$53M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

60%

Yes60%No41%

December 31

27%

Yes27%No73%

$53M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$46M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

94%

Yes94%No6%

Alireza Arafi

2%

Yes2%No98%

$41M Vol.